Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 59.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F, driven by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and recent strong form including a competitive Nations League tie against Spain. Japan holds 25.5% as the competitive challenger, reflecting their early qualification via topping AFC standings and upset wins in friendlies over Brazil and Germany, showcasing attacking momentum. Sweden's dramatic 3-2 playoff final victory over Poland yesterday—capped by Viktor Gyökeres' late winner after his semifinal hat-trick versus Ukraine—positions the ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome at 12.5%, signaling their hot streak. Tunisia trails at 3.8% despite a near-perfect CAF group win, facing steep matchup disadvantages in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus potential third advance to the round of 32.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНидерланды 61%
Япония 26%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР 11%
Тунис 3.8%
$33,059 Объем
$33,059 Объем
Нидерланды
61%
Япония
26%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР
11%
Тунис
4%
Нидерланды 61%
Япония 26%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР 11%
Тунис 3.8%
$33,059 Объем
$33,059 Объем
Нидерланды
61%
Япония
26%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР
11%
Тунис
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 59.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F, driven by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and recent strong form including a competitive Nations League tie against Spain. Japan holds 25.5% as the competitive challenger, reflecting their early qualification via topping AFC standings and upset wins in friendlies over Brazil and Germany, showcasing attacking momentum. Sweden's dramatic 3-2 playoff final victory over Poland yesterday—capped by Viktor Gyökeres' late winner after his semifinal hat-trick versus Ukraine—positions the ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome at 12.5%, signaling their hot streak. Tunisia trails at 3.8% despite a near-perfect CAF group win, facing steep matchup disadvantages in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus potential third advance to the round of 32.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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