Netherlands dominate trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, battle-tested squad featuring stars like Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo, and unbeaten run in recent Nations League matches. Japan's 23% share stems from their cohesive playstyle, shock 2022 World Cup victories over Germany and Spain, and consistent Asian qualifier dominance under coach Hajime Moriyasu. The bundled 15% for Albania, Poland, Sweden, or Ukraine reflects mid-table European form, with Poland boosted by Robert Lewandowski but hampered by inconsistent results. Tunisia trails at 4.6%, weighed by defensive vulnerabilities exposed in Africa Cup qualifiers. No major injuries reported, but rest advantages and head-to-head history favor the Dutch amid group stage uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНидерланды 60%
Япония 23%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР 15%
Тунис 4.6%
$13,719 Объем
$13,719 Объем
Нидерланды
60%
Япония
23%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР
15%
Тунис
5%
Нидерланды 60%
Япония 23%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР 15%
Тунис 4.6%
$13,719 Объем
$13,719 Объем
Нидерланды
60%
Япония
23%
АЛБ/ПОЛ/ШВЕ/УКР
15%
Тунис
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Netherlands dominate trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-tier FIFA ranking, battle-tested squad featuring stars like Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo, and unbeaten run in recent Nations League matches. Japan's 23% share stems from their cohesive playstyle, shock 2022 World Cup victories over Germany and Spain, and consistent Asian qualifier dominance under coach Hajime Moriyasu. The bundled 15% for Albania, Poland, Sweden, or Ukraine reflects mid-table European form, with Poland boosted by Robert Lewandowski but hampered by inconsistent results. Tunisia trails at 4.6%, weighed by defensive vulnerabilities exposed in Africa Cup qualifiers. No major injuries reported, but rest advantages and head-to-head history favor the Dutch amid group stage uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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