Turkey's dramatic 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo five days ago secured their spot in Group D alongside co-host USA, Paraguay, and Australia, boosting trader consensus to a slim 38.5% implied probability for the European side—or bundled UEFA qualifiers KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR—edging USA's 38.0%. This momentum follows Turkey's recent 2-1 friendly win over a struggling USMNT, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities for the 16th-ranked hosts despite home-soil advantages in key fixtures. Paraguay's stronger CONMEBOL qualification form (6th in South America) supports their 15.5% standing over Australia's grittier AFC path at 8.1%, keeping the group race fiercely competitive with no clear dominant force amid balanced FIFA rankings (USA 16, Turkey 22, Australia 27, Paraguay 40).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКосово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция 39%
США 38%
Парагвай 16%
Австралия 8.0%
$16,674 Объем
$16,674 Объем
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция
39%
США
38%
Парагвай
16%
Австралия
8%
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция 39%
США 38%
Парагвай 16%
Австралия 8.0%
$16,674 Объем
$16,674 Объем
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция
39%
США
38%
Парагвай
16%
Австралия
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Turkey's dramatic 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo five days ago secured their spot in Group D alongside co-host USA, Paraguay, and Australia, boosting trader consensus to a slim 38.5% implied probability for the European side—or bundled UEFA qualifiers KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR—edging USA's 38.0%. This momentum follows Turkey's recent 2-1 friendly win over a struggling USMNT, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities for the 16th-ranked hosts despite home-soil advantages in key fixtures. Paraguay's stronger CONMEBOL qualification form (6th in South America) supports their 15.5% standing over Australia's grittier AFC path at 8.1%, keeping the group race fiercely competitive with no clear dominant force amid balanced FIFA rankings (USA 16, Turkey 22, Australia 27, Paraguay 40).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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