Mexico enters Group A as co-host with automatic qualification and multiple home fixtures at high-altitude venues including Estadio Azteca, providing a clear edge reflected in the 52.5% implied probability. Recent winless streaks under Javier Aguirre highlight ongoing form concerns, yet the home advantage and historical pedigree outweigh these for traders. South Korea and Czechia sit near 20% each on the strength of their consistent international experience and solid qualifying campaigns, creating a tight race for second. South Africa trails at 5.8% after a controversial qualification path, facing the steepest challenge against the group's established sides. The June 11 opener against South Africa sets an early tone for momentum heading into the expanded 48-team tournament.