Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Объем
$1,106,932 Объем
19 авг. 2026 г.
<40
Нет
40-64
Нет
65-89
Нет
90-114
Да
115-139
Нет
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190–214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Объем
$1,106,932 Объем
19 авг. 2026 г.
<40
$134,023 Объем
Нет
40-64
$119,676 Объем
Нет
65-89
$314,275 Объем
Нет
90-114
$362,479 Объем
Да
115-139
$150,901 Объем
Нет
140-164
$12,515 Объем
Нет
165-189
$6,008 Объем
Нет
190–214
$2,375 Объем
Нет
215-239
$2,805 Объем
Нет
240+
$1,875 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$1,106,932Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,106,932Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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