Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 Объем
$5,584,552 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 Объем
$5,584,552 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<20
$2,883 Объем
No
20-39
$1,883 Объем
No
40-59
$22,883 Объем
No
60-79
$112,262 Объем
No
80-99
$210,546 Объем
No
100-119
$234,454 Объем
No
120-139
$216,425 Объем
No
140-159
$205,470 Объем
No
160-179
$283,001 Объем
No
180-199
$363,781 Объем
No
200-219
$440,366 Объем
No
220-239
$409,184 Объем
No
240-259
$558,196 Объем
Yes
260-279
$462,405 Объем
No
280-299
$482,299 Объем
No
300-319
$426,770 Объем
No
320-339
$350,641 Объем
No
340-359
$231,376 Объем
No
360-379
$174,317 Объем
No
380-399
$117,030 Объем
No
400-419
$112,055 Объем
No
420-439
$31,195 Объем
No
440-459
$42,643 Объем
No
460-479
$28,658 Объем
No
480-499
$8,658 Объем
No
500+
$55,173 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$5,584,552Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$5,584,552Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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