Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 82% implied odds for Elder Scrolls VI releasing by year-end, driven by Bethesda's radio silence at major 2024 showcases like Xbox Games Showcase and Summer Game Fest, where no new trailers or dates emerged beyond the 2018 teaser. Todd Howard's recent interviews confirm the RPG remains in early pre-production, with Starfield updates and Fallout tie-ins consuming resources after those titles' launches. Historical Bethesda cycles—Skyrim in 2011, Starfield's five-year dev time—suggest a 2026-2028 window at earliest, per Phil Spencer's Nevada address prioritizing Elder Scrolls Online expansions first. Absent a surprise holiday drop, market consensus reflects glacial AAA development realities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 82% implied odds for Elder Scrolls VI releasing by year-end, driven by Bethesda's radio silence at major 2024 showcases like Xbox Games Showcase and Summer Game Fest, where no new trailers or dates emerged beyond the 2018 teaser. Todd Howard's recent interviews confirm the RPG remains in early pre-production, with Starfield updates and Fallout tie-ins consuming resources after those titles' launches. Historical Bethesda cycles—Skyrim in 2011, Starfield's five-year dev time—suggest a 2026-2028 window at earliest, per Phil Spencer's Nevada address prioritizing Elder Scrolls Online expansions first. Absent a surprise holiday drop, market consensus reflects glacial AAA development realities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы