Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 Объем
$100,667 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
Yes
200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 Объем
$100,667 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<20
$2,255 Объем
No
20-39
$417 Объем
No
40-59
$5,987 Объем
No
60-79
$15,726 Объем
No
80-99
$21,944 Объем
No
100-119
$6,589 Объем
No
120-139
$8,480 Объем
No
140-159
$7,505 Объем
No
160-179
$6,608 Объем
No
180-199
$7,972 Объем
No
200+
$17,183 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$100,667Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$100,667Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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