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Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Market icon

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,818 Объем

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,818 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25.

Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.
Объем
$10,818
Дата окончания
25 окт. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 21, 2024, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25.

Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.
Объем
$10,818
Дата окончания
25 окт. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 21, 2024, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 56% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Donald Trump winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 0% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 0¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.8K с момента запуска рынка Oct 21, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?» составляет 0% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.