Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 84.5% for Don Lemon charges being dropped, reflecting the absence of any formal criminal charges stemming from the 2019 airplane incident alleged in a civil lawsuit by former flight attendant Heidi Siddiqui. New York police investigated the groping accusation in 2023 but declined to pursue prosecution, closing the matter without indictment or charges. The civil defamation and assault claims, filed in August 2023, reached a confidential settlement on December 19, 2024, resolving all disputes without admission of liability by Lemon, who denied wrongdoing throughout. With no pending criminal case or special counsel involvement, traders see negligible chance of charges materializing or requiring dismissal before any market resolution deadline.