Databricks' decision to forgo a 2026 IPO amid a crowded calendar of large tech listings, including SpaceX and potentially OpenAI, has anchored trader sentiment. CEO Ali Ghodsi cited unfavorable conditions in June 2026, prompting the company to pursue private funding instead at $165–175 billion valuations, up from the $134 billion Series L round in late 2025. With annualized revenue run rate reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% YoY growth, fundamentals support elevated pricing, yet the absence of an S-1 filing sustains 61% implied odds against an IPO by December 2027. Secondary market levels around $170 billion align with the clustered probabilities in the $150–250 billion ranges, reflecting both growth momentum and execution risks tied to IPO timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 61%
$400–$450 млрд 57%
150–200 млрд долларов 51%
$450 млрд+ 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
< $150 млрд
43%
150–200 млрд долларов
51%
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
28%
250–300 млрд долларов
30%
300–350 млрд $
27%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд
46%
$400–$450 млрд
57%
$450 млрд+
48%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
61%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 61%
$400–$450 млрд 57%
150–200 млрд долларов 51%
$450 млрд+ 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
< $150 млрд
$0 Объем
43%
150–200 млрд долларов
$0 Объем
51%
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
$18 Объем
28%
250–300 млрд долларов
$18 Объем
30%
300–350 млрд $
$18 Объем
27%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд
$18 Объем
46%
$400–$450 млрд
$0 Объем
57%
$450 млрд+
$0 Объем
48%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$172 Объем
61%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' decision to forgo a 2026 IPO amid a crowded calendar of large tech listings, including SpaceX and potentially OpenAI, has anchored trader sentiment. CEO Ali Ghodsi cited unfavorable conditions in June 2026, prompting the company to pursue private funding instead at $165–175 billion valuations, up from the $134 billion Series L round in late 2025. With annualized revenue run rate reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% YoY growth, fundamentals support elevated pricing, yet the absence of an S-1 filing sustains 61% implied odds against an IPO by December 2027. Secondary market levels around $170 billion align with the clustered probabilities in the $150–250 billion ranges, reflecting both growth momentum and execution risks tied to IPO timing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Объем
$244Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' decision to forgo a 2026 IPO amid a crowded calendar of large tech listings, including SpaceX and potentially OpenAI, has anchored trader sentiment. CEO Ali Ghodsi cited unfavorable conditions in June 2026, prompting the company to pursue private funding instead at $165–175 billion valuations, up from the $134 billion Series L round in late 2025. With annualized revenue run rate reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% YoY growth, fundamentals support elevated pricing, yet the absence of an S-1 filing sustains 61% implied odds against an IPO by December 2027. Secondary market levels around $170 billion align with the clustered probabilities in the $150–250 billion ranges, reflecting both growth momentum and execution risks tied to IPO timing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$244Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' decision to forgo a 2026 IPO amid a crowded calendar of large tech listings, including SpaceX and potentially OpenAI, has anchored trader sentiment. CEO Ali Ghodsi cited unfavorable conditions in June 2026, prompting the company to pursue private funding instead at $165–175 billion valuations, up from the $134 billion Series L round in late 2025. With annualized revenue run rate reaching $6.9 billion and over 80% YoY growth, fundamentals support elevated pricing, yet the absence of an S-1 filing sustains 61% implied odds against an IPO by December 2027. Secondary market levels around $170 billion align with the clustered probabilities in the $150–250 billion ranges, reflecting both growth momentum and execution risks tied to IPO timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Stripe составлять не менее $500 млрд к закрытию торгов в день IPO?
43%
Да
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Discord находиться в диапазоне от $8 млрд до $11 млрд на момент закрытия торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
25%
Да
Достигнет ли оценка Databricks (ВЫСОКО) $190 млрд к 31 декабря?
93%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы