Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 67% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around a strong primary field challenging incumbent Republican Gabe Evans, who captured the even-partisan district (PVI EVEN) by just 1 point in 2024. Recent winnowing post-March 17 filing deadline has narrowed the Democratic contest to well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($1.2 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Shannon Bird ($763,000), both viewed as formidable nominees capable of exploiting Evans' narrow margin amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Cook Political rates it a Toss Up ahead of June 30 primaries, with Evans facing a minor Republican primary challenge from Adam DeRito; national GOP early spending targeting Rutinel underscores perceived Democratic strength driving the odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоCO-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CO-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
67%
Республиканская партия
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$319 Объем
67%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 67% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around a strong primary field challenging incumbent Republican Gabe Evans, who captured the even-partisan district (PVI EVEN) by just 1 point in 2024. Recent winnowing post-March 17 filing deadline has narrowed the Democratic contest to well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($1.2 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Shannon Bird ($763,000), both viewed as formidable nominees capable of exploiting Evans' narrow margin amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Cook Political rates it a Toss Up ahead of June 30 primaries, with Evans facing a minor Republican primary challenge from Adam DeRito; national GOP early spending targeting Rutinel underscores perceived Democratic strength driving the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Объем
$319Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 67% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around a strong primary field challenging incumbent Republican Gabe Evans, who captured the even-partisan district (PVI EVEN) by just 1 point in 2024. Recent winnowing post-March 17 filing deadline has narrowed the Democratic contest to well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($1.2 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Shannon Bird ($763,000), both viewed as formidable nominees capable of exploiting Evans' narrow margin amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Cook Political rates it a Toss Up ahead of June 30 primaries, with Evans facing a minor Republican primary challenge from Adam DeRito; national GOP early spending targeting Rutinel underscores perceived Democratic strength driving the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$319Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 67% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around a strong primary field challenging incumbent Republican Gabe Evans, who captured the even-partisan district (PVI EVEN) by just 1 point in 2024. Recent winnowing post-March 17 filing deadline has narrowed the Democratic contest to well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel ($1.2 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Shannon Bird ($763,000), both viewed as formidable nominees capable of exploiting Evans' narrow margin amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Cook Political rates it a Toss Up ahead of June 30 primaries, with Evans facing a minor Republican primary challenge from Adam DeRito; national GOP early spending targeting Rutinel underscores perceived Democratic strength driving the odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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