State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, propelled by his fundraising momentum—topping $1 million early and widening his cash lead—and incumbency advantage in the state House, appealing to progressive primary voters in this battleground district currently held by Republican Gabe Evans. Former Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 23.5% despite EMILY's List's fresh seven-figure ad buy launched May 13 attacking Rutinel's energy stances, building on her March endorsement from Majority Leader Monica Duran; late April polls showed them virtually tied (Bird 25%, Rutinel 24%) with high undecideds. Ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 dropout consolidated support behind the top two, sidelining others. Escalating attack ads and undecideds could shift odds ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМэнни Рутинель 72%
Шэннон Бёрд 23%
Ядира Каравео <1%
Дейв Янг <1%
$20,867 Объем
$20,867 Объем
Мэнни Рутинель
72%
Шэннон Бёрд
23%
Ядира Каравео
1%
Дейв Янг
<1%
Джон Семлер
<1%
Эми Бака-Оэлерт
<1%
Мэнни Рутинель 72%
Шэннон Бёрд 23%
Ядира Каравео <1%
Дейв Янг <1%
$20,867 Объем
$20,867 Объем
Мэнни Рутинель
72%
Шэннон Бёрд
23%
Ядира Каравео
1%
Дейв Янг
<1%
Джон Семлер
<1%
Эми Бака-Оэлерт
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, propelled by his fundraising momentum—topping $1 million early and widening his cash lead—and incumbency advantage in the state House, appealing to progressive primary voters in this battleground district currently held by Republican Gabe Evans. Former Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 23.5% despite EMILY's List's fresh seven-figure ad buy launched May 13 attacking Rutinel's energy stances, building on her March endorsement from Majority Leader Monica Duran; late April polls showed them virtually tied (Bird 25%, Rutinel 24%) with high undecideds. Ex-incumbent Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 dropout consolidated support behind the top two, sidelining others. Escalating attack ads and undecideds could shift odds ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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