Jeff Hurd's overwhelming 93.4% implied probability in the Colorado 3rd District Republican primary reflects his sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys like RMSS (48%) and internal polls (51%) showing double-digit leads over Hope Scheppelman (8-11%), driven by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from NFIB and local GOP figures. Traders view Hurd as the establishment-backed pragmatic nominee suited for the competitive general election. Scheppelman's conservative challenge lacks traction amid low name recognition and resources. Realistic disruptions could include a surprise Trump endorsement for her or a Hurd scandal, but steady early voting and no such catalysts keep odds locked ahead of the June 25 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель республиканских праймериз CO-03
Победитель республиканских праймериз CO-03
Джефф Херд
94%
Хоуп Шеппельман
1%
Джефф Херд
94%
Хоуп Шеппельман
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeff Hurd's overwhelming 93.4% implied probability in the Colorado 3rd District Republican primary reflects his sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys like RMSS (48%) and internal polls (51%) showing double-digit leads over Hope Scheppelman (8-11%), driven by superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from NFIB and local GOP figures. Traders view Hurd as the establishment-backed pragmatic nominee suited for the competitive general election. Scheppelman's conservative challenge lacks traction amid low name recognition and resources. Realistic disruptions could include a surprise Trump endorsement for her or a Hurd scandal, but steady early voting and no such catalysts keep odds locked ahead of the June 25 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы