Trader consensus prices a 68.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Anish Giri (white) and Wei Yi, driven by the tournament's high draw rate—over 60% through four rounds of classical chess among top grandmasters. Giri's recent Round 4 victory over Andrey Esipenko in a sharp Sicilian Najdorf, marking his first win after an opening loss to Praggnanandhaa and two draws, boosts his momentum at 2/4 points, positioning him as a 22% favorite ahead of Wei Yi's 1.5/4 following a solid draw versus Hikaru Nakamura but a Round 3 blunder-loss to Fabiano Caruana. Giri's superior opening preparation and head-to-head edge against Wei Yi further solidify the close matchup dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 68.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Anish Giri (white) and Wei Yi, driven by the tournament's high draw rate—over 60% through four rounds of classical chess among top grandmasters. Giri's recent Round 4 victory over Andrey Esipenko in a sharp Sicilian Najdorf, marking his first win after an opening loss to Praggnanandhaa and two draws, boosts his momentum at 2/4 points, positioning him as a 22% favorite ahead of Wei Yi's 1.5/4 following a solid draw versus Hikaru Nakamura but a Round 3 blunder-loss to Fabiano Caruana. Giri's superior opening preparation and head-to-head edge against Wei Yi further solidify the close matchup dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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