OpenAI’s expanding multi-cloud infrastructure and measured uptime gains underpin trader consensus favoring no full ChatGPT outage by August 31. The company has added gigawatts of new capacity through the Stargate project and diversified across Microsoft Azure, AWS, Oracle, and CoreWeave while deploying redundancy across training and inference stacks. Status-page data for May–August 2026 show APIs at 99.94% and ChatGPT at 99.66% uptime, with the most recent disruption on August 3 limited to roughly 44 minutes. Although a cluster of partial outages hit services in late July, none escalated to system-wide failure, and ongoing scaling plus circuit-breaker mitigations have shortened recovery windows. With no major release windows or regulatory deadlines imminent, traders view the roughly one-in-three chance of a complete outage as reflecting residual scaling risks rather than elevated near-term vulnerability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПолное отключение ChatGPT до 31 августа?
Полное отключение ChatGPT до 31 августа?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s expanding multi-cloud infrastructure and measured uptime gains underpin trader consensus favoring no full ChatGPT outage by August 31. The company has added gigawatts of new capacity through the Stargate project and diversified across Microsoft Azure, AWS, Oracle, and CoreWeave while deploying redundancy across training and inference stacks. Status-page data for May–August 2026 show APIs at 99.94% and ChatGPT at 99.66% uptime, with the most recent disruption on August 3 limited to roughly 44 minutes. Although a cluster of partial outages hit services in late July, none escalated to system-wide failure, and ongoing scaling plus circuit-breaker mitigations have shortened recovery windows. With no major release windows or regulatory deadlines imminent, traders view the roughly one-in-three chance of a complete outage as reflecting residual scaling risks rather than elevated near-term vulnerability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Объем
$6,079Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s expanding multi-cloud infrastructure and measured uptime gains underpin trader consensus favoring no full ChatGPT outage by August 31. The company has added gigawatts of new capacity through the Stargate project and diversified across Microsoft Azure, AWS, Oracle, and CoreWeave while deploying redundancy across training and inference stacks. Status-page data for May–August 2026 show APIs at 99.94% and ChatGPT at 99.66% uptime, with the most recent disruption on August 3 limited to roughly 44 minutes. Although a cluster of partial outages hit services in late July, none escalated to system-wide failure, and ongoing scaling plus circuit-breaker mitigations have shortened recovery windows. With no major release windows or regulatory deadlines imminent, traders view the roughly one-in-three chance of a complete outage as reflecting residual scaling risks rather than elevated near-term vulnerability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$6,079Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s expanding multi-cloud infrastructure and measured uptime gains underpin trader consensus favoring no full ChatGPT outage by August 31. The company has added gigawatts of new capacity through the Stargate project and diversified across Microsoft Azure, AWS, Oracle, and CoreWeave while deploying redundancy across training and inference stacks. Status-page data for May–August 2026 show APIs at 99.94% and ChatGPT at 99.66% uptime, with the most recent disruption on August 3 limited to roughly 44 minutes. Although a cluster of partial outages hit services in late July, none escalated to system-wide failure, and ongoing scaling plus circuit-breaker mitigations have shortened recovery windows. With no major release windows or regulatory deadlines imminent, traders view the roughly one-in-three chance of a complete outage as reflecting residual scaling risks rather than elevated near-term vulnerability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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