Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling momentum ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including Ipsos-Ipec and AtlasIntel, place the former governor and PSDB pre-candidate ahead or in a technical tie with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT, reflecting Ciro’s high name recognition, prior executive experience in the state, and appeal among opposition-leaning voters. Elmano maintains a base tied to the current administration and federal alignments but trails in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Eduardo Girão and others show minimal support in available data. Scheduled campaign activities and further surveys in the coming months could influence positioning before the election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 20%
Камилу Сантана 1.3%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$78,180 Объем
$78,180 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
73%
Elmano de Freitas
20%
Камилу Сантана
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 20%
Камилу Сантана 1.3%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$78,180 Объем
$78,180 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
$44,451 Объем
73%
Elmano de Freitas
$12,678 Объем
20%
Камилу Сантана
$4,744 Объем
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,550 Объем
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,317 Объем
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,440 Объем
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling momentum ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including Ipsos-Ipec and AtlasIntel, place the former governor and PSDB pre-candidate ahead or in a technical tie with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT, reflecting Ciro’s high name recognition, prior executive experience in the state, and appeal among opposition-leaning voters. Elmano maintains a base tied to the current administration and federal alignments but trails in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Eduardo Girão and others show minimal support in available data. Scheduled campaign activities and further surveys in the coming months could influence positioning before the election.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$78,180Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling momentum ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including Ipsos-Ipec and AtlasIntel, place the former governor and PSDB pre-candidate ahead or in a technical tie with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT, reflecting Ciro’s high name recognition, prior executive experience in the state, and appeal among opposition-leaning voters. Elmano maintains a base tied to the current administration and federal alignments but trails in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Eduardo Girão and others show minimal support in available data. Scheduled campaign activities and further surveys in the coming months could influence positioning before the election.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$78,180Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to consistent polling momentum ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent surveys, including Ipsos-Ipec and AtlasIntel, place the former governor and PSDB pre-candidate ahead or in a technical tie with incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT, reflecting Ciro’s high name recognition, prior executive experience in the state, and appeal among opposition-leaning voters. Elmano maintains a base tied to the current administration and federal alignments but trails in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Eduardo Girão and others show minimal support in available data. Scheduled campaign activities and further surveys in the coming months could influence positioning before the election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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