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CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?

Market icon

CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?

25-30% 100.0%

<20% <1%

20-25% <1%

30-35% <1%

Polymarket

$3,771,068 Объем

25-30% 100.0%

<20% <1%

20-25% <1%

30-35% <1%

Polymarket

$3,771,068 Объем

<20%

$875,512 Объем

No

20-25%

$487,627 Объем

No

25-30%

$605,007 Объем

Yes

30-35%

$639,209 Объем

No

35-40%

$564,404 Объем

No

>40%

$599,308 Объем

No

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (inclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins over 40% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Объем
$3,771,068
Дата окончания
23 фев. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2024, 5:27 PM ET
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (inclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins over 40% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Объем
$3,771,068
Дата окончания
23 фев. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2024, 5:27 PM ET
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25-30%» с 100%, за ним следует «<20%» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.8 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 17, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?» — «25-30%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<20%» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.