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CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners

CA-48 Primary Winners

$7,431 Объем

2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$7,431 Объем

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$1,585 Объем

99%

Marni von Wilpert

$875 Объем

94%

Corinna Contreras

$263 Объем

20%

Mike Schaefer

$136 Объем

6%

Brandon Riker

$704 Объем

9%

Kevin O'Neil

$1,095 Объем

1%

Stephen Clemons

$173 Объем

1%

Eric Shaw

$433 Объем

1%

Luis Reyna

$299 Объем

1%

Ferguson Porter

$312 Объем

8%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$1,220 Объем

1%

Abel Chavez

$337 Объем

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate. Early returns show Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor who secured unified GOP support, and Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember, advancing as the top two finishers. A crowded Democratic primary field, including Ammar Campa-Najjar, split votes and prevented any single challenger from overtaking von Wilpert. Vote tabulation continues, but the results set the November general election matchup in this open seat viewed as competitive for control of the U.S. House.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$7,431
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate. Early returns show Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor who secured unified GOP support, and Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember, advancing as the top two finishers. A crowded Democratic primary field, including Ammar Campa-Najjar, split votes and prevented any single challenger from overtaking von Wilpert. Vote tabulation continues, but the results set the November general election matchup in this open seat viewed as competitive for control of the U.S. House.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$7,431
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jim Desmond» с 99%, за ним следует «Marni von Wilpert» с 94%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-48 Primary Winners», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-48 Primary Winners» — «Jim Desmond» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Marni von Wilpert» с 94%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-48 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.