The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-48 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-48 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$12,652 Объем
$12,652 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
85%
Республиканская партия
15%
$12,652 Объем
$12,652 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,389 Объем
85%
Республиканская партия
$6,262 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$12,652Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,652Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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