California's June 2 top-two primary for the redrawn 6th congressional district featured former Republican Kevin Kiley running as an independent after Proposition 50 shifted boundaries into a Democratic-leaning area previously held by Ami Bera. Multiple Democratic candidates, including physician and ex-legislator Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, and others, competed without a party endorsement, while Republican Michael Stansfield also appeared on the ballot. Early vote tallies showed Kiley ahead, followed by Stansfield and Pan, with the top two advancing to the November general regardless of party. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's strong positioning from name recognition and the independent label in a district altered by recent redistricting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-06 Primary Winners
$5,749 Объем
Kevin Kiley
98%
Richard Pan
82%
Michael Stansfield
16%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
3%
Martha Guerrero
3%
Thien Ho
43%
$5,749 Объем
Kevin Kiley
98%
Richard Pan
82%
Michael Stansfield
16%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
3%
Martha Guerrero
3%
Thien Ho
43%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's June 2 top-two primary for the redrawn 6th congressional district featured former Republican Kevin Kiley running as an independent after Proposition 50 shifted boundaries into a Democratic-leaning area previously held by Ami Bera. Multiple Democratic candidates, including physician and ex-legislator Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, and others, competed without a party endorsement, while Republican Michael Stansfield also appeared on the ballot. Early vote tallies showed Kiley ahead, followed by Stansfield and Pan, with the top two advancing to the November general regardless of party. Trader consensus reflects Kiley's strong positioning from name recognition and the independent label in a district altered by recent redistricting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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