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CA-03 Primary Winners

icon for CA-03 Primary Winners

CA-03 Primary Winners

$8,838 Объем

2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$8,838 Объем

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$832 Объем

Yes

Chris Richardson

$757 Объем

No

Heidi Hall

$741 Объем

No

Lyndon Cervantes

$155 Объем

No

Chris Bennett

$507 Объем

No

Christine Bish

$2,856 Объем

No

Laura Koscki

$627 Объем

No

Robb Tucker

$2,363 Объем

Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary under the state's top-two system, in which the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election. Recent vote tallies show Republican Robb Tucker and Democratic incumbent Ami Bera leading the field, with Tucker at approximately 34 percent and Bera at 33 percent; other candidates, including additional Republicans and Democrats, trailed significantly. Redistricting under Proposition 50 altered the district's boundaries, incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and shifting its partisan leanings. The primary followed candidate filing in March and a certified ballot list released by the Secretary of State. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these preliminary results and the low likelihood of major changes from remaining ballots or official certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$8,838
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary under the state's top-two system, in which the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election. Recent vote tallies show Republican Robb Tucker and Democratic incumbent Ami Bera leading the field, with Tucker at approximately 34 percent and Bera at 33 percent; other candidates, including additional Republicans and Democrats, trailed significantly. Redistricting under Proposition 50 altered the district's boundaries, incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and shifting its partisan leanings. The primary followed candidate filing in March and a certified ballot list released by the Secretary of State. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these preliminary results and the low likelihood of major changes from remaining ballots or official certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$8,838
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-03 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ami Bera» с 100%, за ним следует «Robb Tucker» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-03 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-03 Primary Winners», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-03 Primary Winners» — «Ami Bera» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Robb Tucker» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-03 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.