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What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

Market icon

What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

$277,658 Объем

Dec 31, 2024
Polymarket

$277,658 Объем

Polymarket

Kaczynski

$49,841 Объем

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$19,406 Объем

No

Deny, Defend, Depose

$21,428 Объем

No

Brian Thompson

$54,470 Объем

No

Trump

$12,601 Объем

No

AI

$14,048 Объем

No

Woke

$13,105 Объем

No

Preexisting condition

$12,510 Объем

No

Fauci

$13,681 Объем

No

Biden

$7,888 Объем

No

Black lives matter

$12,885 Объем

No

Vaccine

$10,496 Объем

No

UPenn

$15,080 Объем

No

McDonald's

$20,218 Объем

No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution.

Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski.

This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify.

If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.
Объем
$277,658
Дата окончания
Dec 13, 2024
Открытие рынка
Dec 9, 2024, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 14 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Kaczynski» с 0%, за ним следует «Crypto/Bitcoin» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 0¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $277.7K с момента запуска рынка Dec 9, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?», просмотри 14 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?» — «Kaczynski» всего с 0%, а «Crypto/Bitcoin» близко позади с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.