Market icon

Biden Disapproval on Dec 29

<55.0% 100%

55.0% - 55.5% 100%

>55.5% 100%

Polymarket

$257 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's disapproval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is less than 55.0% for the day of December 29, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's disapproval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 29 as soon as a datapoint for December 30 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the December 30 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for December 29 is available by January 1, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous disapproval rating to December 29.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$257
Дата окончания
Dec 29, 2023
Дата создания
Dec 27, 2023, 5:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's disapproval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is less than 55.0% for the day of December 29, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's disapproval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 29 as soon as a datapoint for December 30 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the December 30 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for December 29 is available by January 1, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous disapproval rating to December 29. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55.0% - 55.5%" at 100%, followed by "<55.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 27, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is "55.0% - 55.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<55.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Biden Disapproval on Dec 29

<55.0% 100%

55.0% - 55.5% 100%

>55.5% 100%

Polymarket

$257 Объем

Market icon

<55.0%

$0 Объем

No

Market icon

55.0% - 55.5%

$253 Объем

Yes

Market icon

>55.5%

$4 Объем

No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55.0% - 55.5%" at 100%, followed by "<55.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 27, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" is "55.0% - 55.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<55.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Biden Disapproval on Dec 29" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.