Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, led by Elif Eralp, holding 19–22 percent support—well above its 12.2 percent result in 2023 that yielded 22 seats. Gains have come amid SPD weakness and a competitive three-way race with the CDU and AfD, each near 18–21 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA. These trends imply a larger vote share that, under the state’s proportional system, would translate into roughly 35–40 seats for Linke. Traders’ emphasis on the 35–39 and 40+ brackets aligns with this polling momentum and the limited time remaining before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено35-39 47%
40+ 36%
30-34 20%
<20 <1%
$28,665 Объем
$28,665 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
20%
35-39
47%
40+
36%
35-39 47%
40+ 36%
30-34 20%
<20 <1%
$28,665 Объем
$28,665 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
$933 Объем
1%
20-24
$1,904 Объем
<1%
25-29
$4,477 Объем
<1%
30-34
$5,142 Объем
20%
35-39
$4,794 Объем
47%
40+
$11,414 Объем
36%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, led by Elif Eralp, holding 19–22 percent support—well above its 12.2 percent result in 2023 that yielded 22 seats. Gains have come amid SPD weakness and a competitive three-way race with the CDU and AfD, each near 18–21 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA. These trends imply a larger vote share that, under the state’s proportional system, would translate into roughly 35–40 seats for Linke. Traders’ emphasis on the 35–39 and 40+ brackets aligns with this polling momentum and the limited time remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$28,665Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, led by Elif Eralp, holding 19–22 percent support—well above its 12.2 percent result in 2023 that yielded 22 seats. Gains have come amid SPD weakness and a competitive three-way race with the CDU and AfD, each near 18–21 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA. These trends imply a larger vote share that, under the state’s proportional system, would translate into roughly 35–40 seats for Linke. Traders’ emphasis on the 35–39 and 40+ brackets aligns with this polling momentum and the limited time remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$28,665Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, led by Elif Eralp, holding 19–22 percent support—well above its 12.2 percent result in 2023 that yielded 22 seats. Gains have come amid SPD weakness and a competitive three-way race with the CDU and AfD, each near 18–21 percent in surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA. These trends imply a larger vote share that, under the state’s proportional system, would translate into roughly 35–40 seats for Linke. Traders’ emphasis on the 35–39 and 40+ brackets aligns with this polling momentum and the limited time remaining before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы