The September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election delivered CDU results firmly in the 30-34 seat range, consistent with pre-election polling averages around 19-21% that projected similar outcomes under the state's personalized proportional system. The party, led by Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner's withdrawal amid scandals and coalition fatigue, saw its 2023 vote share of 28.2% drop sharply as support shifted toward Die Linke and AfD. Official tallies and seat projections have shown little variance since election night, anchoring trader consensus on this band while the slim chance of 35-39 seats would require substantial upward revisions in final certification or overhang adjustments.