Recent inflation data showing a June rise to 6.0% amid elevated fuel prices and one-off factors, alongside the Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14%, have anchored trader expectations for the September 11 decision. The central bank highlighted risks from more expansionary fiscal policy, temporary production capacity constraints, and rising inflation expectations, prompting a smoother easing path and an upward revision to its 2026 average rate forecast at 14.5–14.6%. Underlying inflation measures staying near 4–5% annualized, decelerating lending, and softer business demand outlooks support the dominant no-change consensus at 66%, while the 34% probability of a further decrease reflects scope for modest additional easing if price pressures prove transitory before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка России в сентябре?
Без изменений 66%
Снижение 34%
Увеличение 2.1%
$62,312 Объем
$62,312 Объем
Снижение
34%
Без изменений
66%
Увеличение
2%
Без изменений 66%
Снижение 34%
Увеличение 2.1%
$62,312 Объем
$62,312 Объем
Снижение
34%
Без изменений
66%
Увеличение
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing a June rise to 6.0% amid elevated fuel prices and one-off factors, alongside the Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14%, have anchored trader expectations for the September 11 decision. The central bank highlighted risks from more expansionary fiscal policy, temporary production capacity constraints, and rising inflation expectations, prompting a smoother easing path and an upward revision to its 2026 average rate forecast at 14.5–14.6%. Underlying inflation measures staying near 4–5% annualized, decelerating lending, and softer business demand outlooks support the dominant no-change consensus at 66%, while the 34% probability of a further decrease reflects scope for modest additional easing if price pressures prove transitory before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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