**Bank of England November 2026 rate decision sentiment reflects a tight balance between persistent energy-driven inflation risks and signs of underlying disinflation amid subdued growth.** Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept energy prices elevated and volatile, pushing July CPI to 2.9% after a June low of 2.6% and supporting BoE projections for a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4. This has bolstered the hawkish minority on the MPC, which voted 6-3 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in July with three members favoring a 25 basis point hike. At the same time, core inflation remains contained near 2.6%, wage pressures are moderating, and the broader economy shows limited momentum, tilting the median trader view toward no change. Markets price a modest probability of tightening by November, but upcoming September inflation, labor, and GDP data will serve as key swing factors before the next policy round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNo change 51%
25 bps increase 39%
50+ bps increase 5.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$48,432 Объем
$48,432 Объем
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
51%
25 bps increase
39%
50+ bps increase
5%
No change 51%
25 bps increase 39%
50+ bps increase 5.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$48,432 Объем
$48,432 Объем
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
51%
25 bps increase
39%
50+ bps increase
5%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Bank of England November 2026 rate decision sentiment reflects a tight balance between persistent energy-driven inflation risks and signs of underlying disinflation amid subdued growth.** Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept energy prices elevated and volatile, pushing July CPI to 2.9% after a June low of 2.6% and supporting BoE projections for a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4. This has bolstered the hawkish minority on the MPC, which voted 6-3 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in July with three members favoring a 25 basis point hike. At the same time, core inflation remains contained near 2.6%, wage pressures are moderating, and the broader economy shows limited momentum, tilting the median trader view toward no change. Markets price a modest probability of tightening by November, but upcoming September inflation, labor, and GDP data will serve as key swing factors before the next policy round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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