Trader consensus heavily favors Lamine Yamal at 32.5% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, driven by his Euro 2024 stardom in Spain's triumph—at just 17, his flair, assists, and goal threat signal World Cup dominance potential alongside Barcelona's resurgence. Kylian Mbappé (24.0%) gains from Real Madrid's Galáctico aura and France's talent depth, but a muted Euros dims shine; Harry Kane (23.8%) banks on Bundesliga hat-tricks at Bayern, offsetting England's semifinal exit. Pedri (4.0%) and Jude Bellingham (1.7%) trail due to midfield congestion and injury histories, with recent La Liga/ UCL form and 2026 qualifiers poised to shift dynamics amid youth hype versus proven output.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолотоймяч 2026
Золотоймяч 2026
Ламин Ямал 33%
Харри Кейн 23.8%
Килиан Мбаппе 23%
Педри 4.0%
$628,417 Объем
$628,417 Объем
Oct 31, 2026
Ламин Ямал
33%
Харри Кейн
24%
Килиан Мбаппе
23%
Педри
4%
Джуд Беллингем
2%
Усман Дембеле
2%
Коул Палмер
2%
Эрлинг Холанд
1%
Мохамед Салах
1%
Винисиус Жуниор
1%
Ламин Ямал 33%
Харри Кейн 23.8%
Килиан Мбаппе 23%
Педри 4.0%
$628,417 Объем
$628,417 Объем
Oct 31, 2026
Ламин Ямал
$28,002 Объем
33%
Харри Кейн
$105,694 Объем
24%
Килиан Мбаппе
$58,175 Объем
23%
Педри
$0 Объем
4%
Джуд Беллингем
$0 Объем
2%
Усман Дембеле
$0 Объем
2%
Коул Палмер
$0 Объем
2%
Эрлинг Холанд
$153,934 Объем
1%
Мохамед Салах
$0 Объем
1%
Винисиус Жуниор
$282,611 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$628,417Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Объем
$628,417Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Lamine Yamal at 32.5% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, driven by his Euro 2024 stardom in Spain's triumph—at just 17, his flair, assists, and goal threat signal World Cup dominance potential alongside Barcelona's resurgence. Kylian Mbappé (24.0%) gains from Real Madrid's Galáctico aura and France's talent depth, but a muted Euros dims shine; Harry Kane (23.8%) banks on Bundesliga hat-tricks at Bayern, offsetting England's semifinal exit. Pedri (4.0%) and Jude Bellingham (1.7%) trail due to midfield congestion and injury histories, with recent La Liga/ UCL form and 2026 qualifiers poised to shift dynamics amid youth hype versus proven output.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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