Harry Kane’s record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich—61 goals, Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles, plus six World Cup goals as England reached the semifinals—has established him as the clear frontrunner, with market-implied odds for the outright win exceeding 60 percent. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri, whose Golden Ball performance and midfield control reinforce their top-five positioning alongside Kane. Kylian Mbappé’s Golden Boot and all-time World Cup scoring mark keep him in contention, while emerging names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Michael Olise round out the shortlist released September 8. The October 26 London ceremony leaves little time for late swings, though voter emphasis on team success and individual consistency could still shift the final order among the 30 nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$60,770 Объем
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
96%
Kylian Mbappé
91%
Rodri
83%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
55%
Lionel Messi
40%
Ousmane Dembélé
35%
Michael Olise
20%
Fabian Ruiz
10%
Declan Rice
10%
Jude Bellingham
7%
Pau Cubarsi
5%
Erling Haaland
5%
Vitinha
4%
Luis Diaz
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Achraf Hakimi
3%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
$60,770 Объем
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
96%
Kylian Mbappé
91%
Rodri
83%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
55%
Lionel Messi
40%
Ousmane Dembélé
35%
Michael Olise
20%
Fabian Ruiz
10%
Declan Rice
10%
Jude Bellingham
7%
Pau Cubarsi
5%
Erling Haaland
5%
Vitinha
4%
Luis Diaz
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Achraf Hakimi
3%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane’s record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich—61 goals, Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles, plus six World Cup goals as England reached the semifinals—has established him as the clear frontrunner, with market-implied odds for the outright win exceeding 60 percent. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri, whose Golden Ball performance and midfield control reinforce their top-five positioning alongside Kane. Kylian Mbappé’s Golden Boot and all-time World Cup scoring mark keep him in contention, while emerging names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Michael Olise round out the shortlist released September 8. The October 26 London ceremony leaves little time for late swings, though voter emphasis on team success and individual consistency could still shift the final order among the 30 nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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