Harry Kane's record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 61 goals for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal plus strong World Cup contributions with England, has established him as the clear frontrunner for a top-three Ballon d'Or finish. The September 8 nominee announcement reinforced trader consensus around Kane, Lamine Yamal, and Rodri, with Kane holding roughly 60% implied probability to win outright in prediction markets. Yamal's La Liga Player of the Season honors, Spain's World Cup triumph, and record-setting club output keep him in strong contention for second, while Rodri's Golden Ball performance as captain adds momentum despite limited club minutes post-injury. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid tighter voting dynamics. The October 26 ceremony in London remains the key resolution date, with final voter sentiment potentially shifting on late narratives around individual impact versus team success.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$82,351 Объем
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
67%
Rodri
49%
Lionel Messi
25%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
15%
Fabian Ruiz
7%
Declan Rice
6%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Vitinha
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Erling Haaland
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
$82,351 Объем
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
67%
Rodri
49%
Lionel Messi
25%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
15%
Fabian Ruiz
7%
Declan Rice
6%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Vitinha
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Erling Haaland
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane's record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 61 goals for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal plus strong World Cup contributions with England, has established him as the clear frontrunner for a top-three Ballon d'Or finish. The September 8 nominee announcement reinforced trader consensus around Kane, Lamine Yamal, and Rodri, with Kane holding roughly 60% implied probability to win outright in prediction markets. Yamal's La Liga Player of the Season honors, Spain's World Cup triumph, and record-setting club output keep him in strong contention for second, while Rodri's Golden Ball performance as captain adds momentum despite limited club minutes post-injury. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid tighter voting dynamics. The October 26 ceremony in London remains the key resolution date, with final voter sentiment potentially shifting on late narratives around individual impact versus team success.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы