Mark Lamb maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior polling dominance above 50 percent, and name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff in the solidly Republican East Valley seat vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent reports of explicit messages and related allegations have introduced scrutiny and prompted calls for withdrawal, narrowing his implied probability while leaving challengers Jay Feely and Travis Grantham with limited support due to lower visibility and weaker early fundraising or organizational backing. The primary remains weeks away, leaving room for further shifts from ongoing developments or additional candidate entries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМарк Лэмб 53.0%
Джей Фили 5.9%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 1.9%
$49,565 Объем
$49,565 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
49%
Джей Фили
6%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
2%
Марк Лэмб 53.0%
Джей Фили 5.9%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 1.9%
$49,565 Объем
$49,565 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
$5,339 Объем
49%
Джей Фили
$42,633 Объем
6%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
$1,592 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior polling dominance above 50 percent, and name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff in the solidly Republican East Valley seat vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent reports of explicit messages and related allegations have introduced scrutiny and prompted calls for withdrawal, narrowing his implied probability while leaving challengers Jay Feely and Travis Grantham with limited support due to lower visibility and weaker early fundraising or organizational backing. The primary remains weeks away, leaving room for further shifts from ongoing developments or additional candidate entries.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$49,565Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior polling dominance above 50 percent, and name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff in the solidly Republican East Valley seat vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent reports of explicit messages and related allegations have introduced scrutiny and prompted calls for withdrawal, narrowing his implied probability while leaving challengers Jay Feely and Travis Grantham with limited support due to lower visibility and weaker early fundraising or organizational backing. The primary remains weeks away, leaving room for further shifts from ongoing developments or additional candidate entries.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$49,565Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior polling dominance above 50 percent, and name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff in the solidly Republican East Valley seat vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent reports of explicit messages and related allegations have introduced scrutiny and prompted calls for withdrawal, narrowing his implied probability while leaving challengers Jay Feely and Travis Grantham with limited support due to lower visibility and weaker early fundraising or organizational backing. The primary remains weeks away, leaving room for further shifts from ongoing developments or additional candidate entries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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