Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb entered the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat late in 2025 and quickly established a dominant position among likely GOP voters, as shown in an early October poll placing him at 54 percent support. His high name recognition and conservative profile have sustained that lead through the filing period, while lower-profile challengers such as Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have largely exited the race. With the July 21 primary roughly two months away, the remaining contest centers on Lamb and businessman Daniel Keenan; recent campaign disputes over financial disclosures have not altered Lamb’s commanding trader-implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМарк Лэмб 57.6%
Джей Фили 6.0%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 3.3%
$49,062 Объем
$49,062 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
58%
Джей Фили
6%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
3%
Марк Лэмб 57.6%
Джей Фили 6.0%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 3.3%
$49,062 Объем
$49,062 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
$5,183 Объем
58%
Джей Фили
$42,346 Объем
6%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
$1,533 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb entered the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat late in 2025 and quickly established a dominant position among likely GOP voters, as shown in an early October poll placing him at 54 percent support. His high name recognition and conservative profile have sustained that lead through the filing period, while lower-profile challengers such as Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have largely exited the race. With the July 21 primary roughly two months away, the remaining contest centers on Lamb and businessman Daniel Keenan; recent campaign disputes over financial disclosures have not altered Lamb’s commanding trader-implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$49,062Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb entered the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat late in 2025 and quickly established a dominant position among likely GOP voters, as shown in an early October poll placing him at 54 percent support. His high name recognition and conservative profile have sustained that lead through the filing period, while lower-profile challengers such as Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have largely exited the race. With the July 21 primary roughly two months away, the remaining contest centers on Lamb and businessman Daniel Keenan; recent campaign disputes over financial disclosures have not altered Lamb’s commanding trader-implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$49,062Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb entered the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat late in 2025 and quickly established a dominant position among likely GOP voters, as shown in an early October poll placing him at 54 percent support. His high name recognition and conservative profile have sustained that lead through the filing period, while lower-profile challengers such as Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have largely exited the race. With the July 21 primary roughly two months away, the remaining contest centers on Lamb and businessman Daniel Keenan; recent campaign disputes over financial disclosures have not altered Lamb’s commanding trader-implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы