President Trump's White House budget proposal released April 3 requests $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding for the Federal Bureau of Prisons to initiate rebuilding Alcatraz Island—currently a National Park Service historic site open to tourists—into a modern high-security facility, reviving a 1963 closure driven by excessive operating costs like water and supply transport. Facing opposition from California officials including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, logistical hurdles, and total costs potentially exceeding $2 billion, traders see slim odds of full operational reopening by year-end amid drawn-out congressional appropriations, environmental reviews, and inter-agency shifts from Department of the Interior oversight. Swift bipartisan passage could shift consensus, but historical precedents favor delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's White House budget proposal released April 3 requests $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding for the Federal Bureau of Prisons to initiate rebuilding Alcatraz Island—currently a National Park Service historic site open to tourists—into a modern high-security facility, reviving a 1963 closure driven by excessive operating costs like water and supply transport. Facing opposition from California officials including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, logistical hurdles, and total costs potentially exceeding $2 billion, traders see slim odds of full operational reopening by year-end amid drawn-out congressional appropriations, environmental reviews, and inter-agency shifts from Department of the Interior oversight. Swift bipartisan passage could shift consensus, but historical precedents favor delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Объем
$519Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's White House budget proposal released April 3 requests $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding for the Federal Bureau of Prisons to initiate rebuilding Alcatraz Island—currently a National Park Service historic site open to tourists—into a modern high-security facility, reviving a 1963 closure driven by excessive operating costs like water and supply transport. Facing opposition from California officials including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, logistical hurdles, and total costs potentially exceeding $2 billion, traders see slim odds of full operational reopening by year-end amid drawn-out congressional appropriations, environmental reviews, and inter-agency shifts from Department of the Interior oversight. Swift bipartisan passage could shift consensus, but historical precedents favor delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$519Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's White House budget proposal released April 3 requests $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding for the Federal Bureau of Prisons to initiate rebuilding Alcatraz Island—currently a National Park Service historic site open to tourists—into a modern high-security facility, reviving a 1963 closure driven by excessive operating costs like water and supply transport. Facing opposition from California officials including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, logistical hurdles, and total costs potentially exceeding $2 billion, traders see slim odds of full operational reopening by year-end amid drawn-out congressional appropriations, environmental reviews, and inter-agency shifts from Department of the Interior oversight. Swift bipartisan passage could shift consensus, but historical precedents favor delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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