South Africa leads Group D in the AFCON 2027 qualifiers with a perfect six points and +6 goal difference after two matches, including a 2-1 victory over Guinea and a 5-0 rout of Eritrea that featured a brace from Relebohile Mofokeng. This form under new coach Pitso Mosimane positions Bafana Bafana as clear frontrunners for the group's non-host qualifying spot, as Kenya has already secured its place as co-host. Guinea sits second on three points following its 1-0 win over Kenya, while the hosts and Eritrea trail on one point each after their 1-1 draw. Traders reflect this hierarchy through elevated implied probability on South Africa, with Guinea holding the next-highest share amid the remaining November and March fixtures.