Elon Musk’s consistent baseline posting rate of roughly 25–35 posts per day under normal conditions anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 range for the August 4–11 window. The prior week’s resolution at 220–239 established recent momentum, while the absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts this week has kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than pushing volume higher. Traders weigh historical patterns—quiet weekends offset by weekday engagement spikes—against the risk of sudden news-driven surges, producing the current narrow spread across the three leading bins and reflecting aggregated real-money assessment of his typical weekly cadence without extraordinary triggers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоElon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
180-199 33%
200-219 24%
160-179 23%
220-239 10%
$894,742 Объем
$894,742 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
6%
160-179
23%
180-199
33%
200-219
24%
220-239
10%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 33%
200-219 24%
160-179 23%
220-239 10%
$894,742 Объем
$894,742 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
100-119
$68,796 Объем
<1%
120-139
$72,823 Объем
1%
140-159
$46,087 Объем
6%
160-179
$35,980 Объем
23%
180-199
$45,449 Объем
33%
200-219
$40,702 Объем
24%
220-239
$37,010 Объем
10%
240-259
$35,176 Объем
3%
260-279
$51,481 Объем
2%
280-299
$43,237 Объем
1%
300-319
$48,983 Объем
<1%
320-339
$36,613 Объем
<1%
340-359
$37,234 Объем
<1%
360-379
$45,547 Объем
<1%
380-399
$26,787 Объем
<1%
400-419
$24,589 Объем
<1%
420-439
$6,227 Объем
<1%
440-459
$14,453 Объем
<1%
460-479
$6,847 Объем
<1%
480-499
$6,862 Объем
<1%
500+
$46,766 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent baseline posting rate of roughly 25–35 posts per day under normal conditions anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 range for the August 4–11 window. The prior week’s resolution at 220–239 established recent momentum, while the absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts this week has kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than pushing volume higher. Traders weigh historical patterns—quiet weekends offset by weekday engagement spikes—against the risk of sudden news-driven surges, producing the current narrow spread across the three leading bins and reflecting aggregated real-money assessment of his typical weekly cadence without extraordinary triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$894,742Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent baseline posting rate of roughly 25–35 posts per day under normal conditions anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 range for the August 4–11 window. The prior week’s resolution at 220–239 established recent momentum, while the absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts this week has kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than pushing volume higher. Traders weigh historical patterns—quiet weekends offset by weekday engagement spikes—against the risk of sudden news-driven surges, producing the current narrow spread across the three leading bins and reflecting aggregated real-money assessment of his typical weekly cadence without extraordinary triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$894,742Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent baseline posting rate of roughly 25–35 posts per day under normal conditions anchors trader sentiment around the 180–219 range for the August 4–11 window. The prior week’s resolution at 220–239 established recent momentum, while the absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts this week has kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than pushing volume higher. Traders weigh historical patterns—quiet weekends offset by weekday engagement spikes—against the risk of sudden news-driven surges, producing the current narrow spread across the three leading bins and reflecting aggregated real-money assessment of his typical weekly cadence without extraordinary triggers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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