**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$492,657 Объем
$492,657 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
Ива́н Себеда Кастро
100%
Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья
<1%
$492,657 Объем
$492,657 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
Ива́н Себеда Кастро
$219,187 Объем
100%
Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья
$273,470 Объем
<1%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Объем
$492,657Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$492,657Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы