Market icon
Политика·Трамп

4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets

$49,694 Объем

Dec 6, 2023
Polymarket

$49,694 Объем

Polymarket
Market icon

Trump said by every candidate

$3,774 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Biden said by every candidate

$3,348 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Putin said by every candidate

$2,329 Объем

No

Market icon

Hamas 10 or more times

$22,680 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Israel 20 or more times

$5,443 Объем

No

Market icon

Israel 10 or more times

$1,948 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Terrorist 10 or more times

$4,222 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Ukraine 8 or more times

$789 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Ceasefire 5 or more times

$1,224 Объем

No

Market icon

Alien

$1,916 Объем

Yes

Market icon

George Santos

$2,021 Объем

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Putin" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Hamas" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 20 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "terrorist" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 8 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Ukrainian" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "ceasefire" is said 5 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "George Santos" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market the terms "George" or "Santos" alone will trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market, but only if they directly refer to ex-congressman George Santos. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$49,694
Дата окончания
Dec 6, 2023
Открытие рынка
Dec 6, 2023, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Putin" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Hamas" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 20 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "terrorist" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 8 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Ukrainian" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "ceasefire" is said 5 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "George Santos" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market the terms "George" or "Santos" alone will trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market, but only if they directly refer to ex-congressman George Santos. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Trump said by every candidate» с 100%, за ним следует «Biden said by every candidate» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $49.7K с момента запуска рынка Dec 6, 2023. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets» — «Trump said by every candidate» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Biden said by every candidate» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.