Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability that Alphabet retains its position as the world's second-largest company by market capitalization through May 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.73 trillion valuation—firmly ahead of Apple's $4.29 trillion but trailing Nvidia's $5.39 trillion lead. This positioning stems from Alphabet's Q1 FY2026 earnings beat, driven by 63% Google Cloud revenue growth amid AI infrastructure demand, outpacing competitors and widening its gap over Apple despite the latter's modest gains. Nvidia's 8.6% odds capture a slim market-implied chance of Alphabet surpassing it via further AI monetization, while Apple's 2.3% reflects lagging iPhone and services growth; negligible probabilities for others like Microsoft underscore vast valuation chasms. With three weeks to resolution, daily volatility in tech shares remains the key swing factor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAlphabet 90%
NVIDIA 8.2%
Apple 2.3%
Microsoft <1%
$92,612 Объем
$92,612 Объем

Alphabet
90%

NVIDIA
8%

Apple
2%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Broadcom
<1%
Alphabet 90%
NVIDIA 8.2%
Apple 2.3%
Microsoft <1%
$92,612 Объем
$92,612 Объем

Alphabet
90%

NVIDIA
8%

Apple
2%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Broadcom
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability that Alphabet retains its position as the world's second-largest company by market capitalization through May 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.73 trillion valuation—firmly ahead of Apple's $4.29 trillion but trailing Nvidia's $5.39 trillion lead. This positioning stems from Alphabet's Q1 FY2026 earnings beat, driven by 63% Google Cloud revenue growth amid AI infrastructure demand, outpacing competitors and widening its gap over Apple despite the latter's modest gains. Nvidia's 8.6% odds capture a slim market-implied chance of Alphabet surpassing it via further AI monetization, while Apple's 2.3% reflects lagging iPhone and services growth; negligible probabilities for others like Microsoft underscore vast valuation chasms. With three weeks to resolution, daily volatility in tech shares remains the key swing factor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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