Michigan leads trader consensus at 20.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, fueled by its No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class under Dusty May, including five-star talents like Trey McNutt and Durral Brooks alongside key returners. Arizona (19.8%) and Duke (16.5%) trail closely, bolstered by their own top-five hauls—Koa Peat and Jalil Bethea, respectively—plus aggressive transfer portal moves retaining elite production. Florida's surge to 9.2% reflects Todd Golden's portal dominance and four-star signees, while Houston's defensive pedigree endures despite graduations. This parity stems from widespread recruiting parity, unresolved transfer impacts, and early-season variables like non-conference schedules, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing high-variance futures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМичиган 21%
Аризона 19.7%
Дюк 18%
Флорида 9.0%
$21,331,650 Объем
$21,331,650 Объем
Мичиган
21%
Аризона
20%
Дюк
18%
Флорида
9%
Хьюстон
7%
Иллинойс
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Мичиганский университет
3%
Арканзас
2%
St John's
2%
Гонзага
2%
UCLA
1%
Канзас
1%
Вандербильт
1%
Теннесси
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Небраска
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Техас
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
Техасский университет A&M
<1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
Хай-Пойнт
<1%
Луисвилл
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
Мичиган 21%
Аризона 19.7%
Дюк 18%
Флорида 9.0%
$21,331,650 Объем
$21,331,650 Объем
Мичиган
21%
Аризона
20%
Дюк
18%
Флорида
9%
Хьюстон
7%
Иллинойс
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Мичиганский университет
3%
Арканзас
2%
St John's
2%
Гонзага
2%
UCLA
1%
Канзас
1%
Вандербильт
1%
Теннесси
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Небраска
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Техас
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
Техасский университет A&M
<1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
Хай-Пойнт
<1%
Луисвилл
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan leads trader consensus at 20.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, fueled by its No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class under Dusty May, including five-star talents like Trey McNutt and Durral Brooks alongside key returners. Arizona (19.8%) and Duke (16.5%) trail closely, bolstered by their own top-five hauls—Koa Peat and Jalil Bethea, respectively—plus aggressive transfer portal moves retaining elite production. Florida's surge to 9.2% reflects Todd Golden's portal dominance and four-star signees, while Houston's defensive pedigree endures despite graduations. This parity stems from widespread recruiting parity, unresolved transfer impacts, and early-season variables like non-conference schedules, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing high-variance futures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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