Elite 2025 recruiting classes and aggressive transfer portal moves have fueled trader consensus around Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as co-favorites for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with their probabilities bunched under 20% amid widespread parity among power programs. Arizona's top-tier haul under Tommy Lloyd, Michigan's portal dominance via new coach Dusty May including guards like Tre Johnson, and Duke's perennial pipeline under Jon Scheyer highlight the arms race for five-star talent driving this tightness. Returning production from recent deep runs, coaching stability, and uncertain non-conference schedules add volatility, as historical March upsets remind traders that no early lead guarantees a title in college basketball's chaotic bracket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАризона 19.6%
Мичиган 20%
Дюк 17%
Флорида 9.8%
$21,881,746 Объем
$21,881,746 Объем
Аризона
20%
Мичиган
20%
Дюк
17%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
8%
Пёрдью
5%
Иллинойс
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
1%
Теннесси
1%
Канзас
1%
UCLA
1%
Небраска
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Техас
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
Аризона 19.6%
Мичиган 20%
Дюк 17%
Флорида 9.8%
$21,881,746 Объем
$21,881,746 Объем
Аризона
20%
Мичиган
20%
Дюк
17%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
8%
Пёрдью
5%
Иллинойс
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
1%
Теннесси
1%
Канзас
1%
UCLA
1%
Небраска
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Техас
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elite 2025 recruiting classes and aggressive transfer portal moves have fueled trader consensus around Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as co-favorites for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with their probabilities bunched under 20% amid widespread parity among power programs. Arizona's top-tier haul under Tommy Lloyd, Michigan's portal dominance via new coach Dusty May including guards like Tre Johnson, and Duke's perennial pipeline under Jon Scheyer highlight the arms race for five-star talent driving this tightness. Returning production from recent deep runs, coaching stability, and uncertain non-conference schedules add volatility, as historical March upsets remind traders that no early lead guarantees a title in college basketball's chaotic bracket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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