With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Michigan a slim 34.5% implied probability edge over Arizona at 33.5%, reflecting both No. 1 seeds' dominant paths—Michigan's 35-3 record and Arizona's 36-2—after Duke's Elite Eight exit vaulted them as co-favorites. Illinois (17.4%) and UConn (13.4%) trail as competitive underdogs, buoyed by the Fighting Illini's defensive surge and Huskies' comeback tournament form despite lower seeds. No major injury updates in the last 48 hours have shifted sentiment, keeping the race tight ahead of Saturday's Michigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois semifinals, where stylistic matchups and rest advantages loom large.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМичиган 35%
Аризона 33.5%
Иллинойс 17.4%
Коннектикут 13.4%
$24,183,758 Объем
$24,183,758 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
Мичиган
35%
Аризона
33%
Иллинойс
17%
Коннектикут
13%
Мичиган 35%
Аризона 33.5%
Иллинойс 17.4%
Коннектикут 13.4%
$24,183,758 Объем
$24,183,758 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
Мичиган
$1,365,789 Объем
35%
Аризона
$1,642,128 Объем
33%
Иллинойс
$1,639,593 Объем
17%
Коннектикут
$2,821,905 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Michigan a slim 34.5% implied probability edge over Arizona at 33.5%, reflecting both No. 1 seeds' dominant paths—Michigan's 35-3 record and Arizona's 36-2—after Duke's Elite Eight exit vaulted them as co-favorites. Illinois (17.4%) and UConn (13.4%) trail as competitive underdogs, buoyed by the Fighting Illini's defensive surge and Huskies' comeback tournament form despite lower seeds. No major injury updates in the last 48 hours have shifted sentiment, keeping the race tight ahead of Saturday's Michigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois semifinals, where stylistic matchups and rest advantages loom large.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Объем
$24,183,758Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Michigan a slim 34.5% implied probability edge over Arizona at 33.5%, reflecting both No. 1 seeds' dominant paths—Michigan's 35-3 record and Arizona's 36-2—after Duke's Elite Eight exit vaulted them as co-favorites. Illinois (17.4%) and UConn (13.4%) trail as competitive underdogs, buoyed by the Fighting Illini's defensive surge and Huskies' comeback tournament form despite lower seeds. No major injury updates in the last 48 hours have shifted sentiment, keeping the race tight ahead of Saturday's Michigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois semifinals, where stylistic matchups and rest advantages loom large.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Объем
$24,183,758Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Michigan a slim 34.5% implied probability edge over Arizona at 33.5%, reflecting both No. 1 seeds' dominant paths—Michigan's 35-3 record and Arizona's 36-2—after Duke's Elite Eight exit vaulted them as co-favorites. Illinois (17.4%) and UConn (13.4%) trail as competitive underdogs, buoyed by the Fighting Illini's defensive surge and Huskies' comeback tournament form despite lower seeds. No major injury updates in the last 48 hours have shifted sentiment, keeping the race tight ahead of Saturday's Michigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois semifinals, where stylistic matchups and rest advantages loom large.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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