Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner reflects intense early-season parity, with Arizona's 26% implied probability driven by Tommy Lloyd's elite 2026 recruiting class featuring multiple top-25 prospects and key transfer portal additions like All-SEC forward Jalil Bethea, positioning them as frontrunners amid Big 12 expansion challenges. Michigan trails closely at 20% following Dusty May's hire from FAU, where he rebuilt with NIL-fueled transfers and a top-10 2026 class, injecting Final Four potential into a revamped roster. Duke (17%) leverages Jon Scheyer's perennial blue-chip pipeline, including 2026 studs, while Illinois (14%) gains from Brad Underwood's Big Ten momentum, returning core, and portal reinforcements, keeping the top tier bunched amid transfer portal flux and unresolved 2025-26 eligibility questions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАризона 26.6%
Мичиган 21%
Дюк 18%
Иллинойс 13.6%
$20,958,530 Объем
$20,958,530 Объем
Аризона
27%
Мичиган
21%
Дюк
18%
Иллинойс
14%
Пёрдью
7%
Айова Стейт
5%
Коннектикут
3%
Мичиганский университет
3%
St John's
2%
Айова
2%
Теннесси
1%
Алабама
1%
Аризона 26.6%
Мичиган 21%
Дюк 18%
Иллинойс 13.6%
$20,958,530 Объем
$20,958,530 Объем
Аризона
27%
Мичиган
21%
Дюк
18%
Иллинойс
14%
Пёрдью
7%
Айова Стейт
5%
Коннектикут
3%
Мичиганский университет
3%
St John's
2%
Айова
2%
Теннесси
1%
Алабама
1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner reflects intense early-season parity, with Arizona's 26% implied probability driven by Tommy Lloyd's elite 2026 recruiting class featuring multiple top-25 prospects and key transfer portal additions like All-SEC forward Jalil Bethea, positioning them as frontrunners amid Big 12 expansion challenges. Michigan trails closely at 20% following Dusty May's hire from FAU, where he rebuilt with NIL-fueled transfers and a top-10 2026 class, injecting Final Four potential into a revamped roster. Duke (17%) leverages Jon Scheyer's perennial blue-chip pipeline, including 2026 studs, while Illinois (14%) gains from Brad Underwood's Big Ten momentum, returning core, and portal reinforcements, keeping the top tier bunched amid transfer portal flux and unresolved 2025-26 eligibility questions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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