Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on a tight cluster of elite programs—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—fueled by top-tier 2025 recruiting classes and savvy transfer portal hauls, creating parity in projected roster strength for next season. Arizona edges ahead at 19.1% implied probability thanks to commitments from five-star guards like Dwayne Aristode and a deep returning core led by K.J. Lewis, while Michigan's 18.5% reflects coach Dusty May's momentum with elite wings like Tre Donaldson and portal star Nimari Burnett. Duke matches at 17.5% via Cooper Flagg's anticipated sophomore leap and freshmen studs like Isiah Harwell. Florida lags at 9.8% but lurks with SEC depth; the bunching underscores recruiting arms race dynamics, where minor commitment flips or current-season surprises could swing odds, as upsets define March Madness paths.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАризона 19.1%
Мичиган 19%
Дюк 18%
Флорида 9.7%
$21,762,034 Объем
$21,762,034 Объем
Аризона
19%
Мичиган
19%
Дюк
18%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
7%
Айова Стейт
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Иллинойс
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
2%
Гонзага
1%
Канзас
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Вандербильт
1%
Теннесси
1%
UCLA
1%
Алабама
1%
Майами (Флорида)
1%
Луисвилл
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Небраска
<1%
Техасский университет A&M
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Техас
<1%
Сент-Луис
<1%
TCU
<1%
Айова
<1%
Хай-Пойнт
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Миссури
<1%
VCU
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Фурман
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
Аризона 19.1%
Мичиган 19%
Дюк 18%
Флорида 9.7%
$21,762,034 Объем
$21,762,034 Объем
Аризона
19%
Мичиган
19%
Дюк
18%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
7%
Айова Стейт
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Иллинойс
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
2%
Гонзага
1%
Канзас
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Вандербильт
1%
Теннесси
1%
UCLA
1%
Алабама
1%
Майами (Флорида)
1%
Луисвилл
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Небраска
<1%
Техасский университет A&M
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Техас
<1%
Сент-Луис
<1%
TCU
<1%
Айова
<1%
Хай-Пойнт
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Миссури
<1%
VCU
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Фурман
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on a tight cluster of elite programs—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—fueled by top-tier 2025 recruiting classes and savvy transfer portal hauls, creating parity in projected roster strength for next season. Arizona edges ahead at 19.1% implied probability thanks to commitments from five-star guards like Dwayne Aristode and a deep returning core led by K.J. Lewis, while Michigan's 18.5% reflects coach Dusty May's momentum with elite wings like Tre Donaldson and portal star Nimari Burnett. Duke matches at 17.5% via Cooper Flagg's anticipated sophomore leap and freshmen studs like Isiah Harwell. Florida lags at 9.8% but lurks with SEC depth; the bunching underscores recruiting arms race dynamics, where minor commitment flips or current-season surprises could swing odds, as upsets define March Madness paths.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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