Michigan's slight edge in trader consensus stems from coach Dusty May's Final Four pedigree and a top-tier 2025 recruiting class featuring elite guards, fueling 20.5% implied probability, while Arizona (19.6%) mirrors this with Tommy Lloyd's steady Big 12 transition and high-end commitments like Joson Sanon. Duke (16.5%) trails closely on Jon Scheyer's loaded freshman haul headlined by Cooper Flagg, but the market reflects broader parity from the transfer portal's roster flux and minimal returning production league-wide. Florida and Houston round out the top five via defensive identities and mid-major-to-power jumps, underscoring how one-and-done talent, coaching hires, and portal volatility keep the 2026 title race bunched with no dominant favorite amid inherent college hoops unpredictability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМичиган 21%
Аризона 19.6%
Дюк 17%
Флорида 9.8%
$21,706,363 Объем
$21,706,363 Объем
Мичиган
21%
Аризона
20%
Дюк
17%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
8%
Иллинойс
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
2%
Теннесси
1%
Канзас
1%
Небраска
1%
UCLA
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Техас
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
VCU
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
Мичиган 21%
Аризона 19.6%
Дюк 17%
Флорида 9.8%
$21,706,363 Объем
$21,706,363 Объем
Мичиган
21%
Аризона
20%
Дюк
17%
Флорида
10%
Хьюстон
8%
Иллинойс
4%
Пёрдью
4%
Айова Стейт
4%
Коннектикут
3%
Арканзас
3%
Мичиганский университет
2%
St John's
2%
Теннесси
1%
Канзас
1%
Небраска
1%
UCLA
1%
Вирджиния
1%
Техас
1%
Алабама
<1%
Майами (Флорида)
<1%
Техасский технологический университет
<1%
Кентукки
<1%
Айова
<1%
VCU
<1%
Юта Стейт
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's slight edge in trader consensus stems from coach Dusty May's Final Four pedigree and a top-tier 2025 recruiting class featuring elite guards, fueling 20.5% implied probability, while Arizona (19.6%) mirrors this with Tommy Lloyd's steady Big 12 transition and high-end commitments like Joson Sanon. Duke (16.5%) trails closely on Jon Scheyer's loaded freshman haul headlined by Cooper Flagg, but the market reflects broader parity from the transfer portal's roster flux and minimal returning production league-wide. Florida and Houston round out the top five via defensive identities and mid-major-to-power jumps, underscoring how one-and-done talent, coaching hires, and portal volatility keep the 2026 title race bunched with no dominant favorite amid inherent college hoops unpredictability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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