Arizona and Michigan, both No. 1 seeds, share top trader consensus at 34.9% and 34.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after advancing to the Final Four via dominant Elite Eight performances—Arizona routing Purdue and Michigan overwhelming Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16—highlighting their elite size, guard play, and defensive efficiency that have neutralized high-powered offenses. Illinois (17.5%) surged past Iowa in the Elite Eight, leveraging Big Ten depth, while UConn (13.2%) grinded out a 67-63 Sweet 16 thriller over Michigan State, but faces stylistic hurdles against Illinois. The AZ-MI semifinal pits near-equals with mutual matchup edges, keeping the national title race tightly contested amid injury recoveries and rest advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАризона 34.9%
Мичиган 35%
Иллинойс 17.5%
Коннектикут 13.5%
$23,381,445 Объем
$23,381,445 Объем
Аризона
35%
Мичиган
35%
Иллинойс
18%
Коннектикут
14%
Аризона 34.9%
Мичиган 35%
Иллинойс 17.5%
Коннектикут 13.5%
$23,381,445 Объем
$23,381,445 Объем
Аризона
35%
Мичиган
35%
Иллинойс
18%
Коннектикут
14%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Открытие рынка: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona and Michigan, both No. 1 seeds, share top trader consensus at 34.9% and 34.5% implied probabilities to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after advancing to the Final Four via dominant Elite Eight performances—Arizona routing Purdue and Michigan overwhelming Alabama 90-77 in the Sweet 16—highlighting their elite size, guard play, and defensive efficiency that have neutralized high-powered offenses. Illinois (17.5%) surged past Iowa in the Elite Eight, leveraging Big Ten depth, while UConn (13.2%) grinded out a 67-63 Sweet 16 thriller over Michigan State, but faces stylistic hurdles against Illinois. The AZ-MI semifinal pits near-equals with mutual matchup edges, keeping the national title race tightly contested amid injury recoveries and rest advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы