Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner consensus at 16.3% implied probability, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, 18-month unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, and runner-up spot in the freshly updated FIFA rankings (just one point behind new No. 1 France at 1877.32). France (12.4%) and England (12.3%) trail closely after topping UEFA qualifying groups and strong recent form, including France's 3-1 friendly win over Colombia last week. Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) secured CONMEBOL spots amid grueling campaigns, but trader caution persists amid parity in the expanded 48-team field, aging stars like Messi (39), Ronaldo (41), and Haaland's Norway surge, with qualifiers' playoff shocks (Italy out to Bosnia on penalties) underscoring upset potential just weeks from kickoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 16.3%
Франция 12.4%
Англия 12.3%
Аргентина 9.4%
$453,653,410 Объем
$453,653,410 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
12%

Англия
12%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Португалия
7%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
3%

Норвегия
3%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Уругвай
1%

Швейцария
1%

Хорватия
1%

Мексика
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Швеция
1%

Канада
1%

Австрия
1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Иран
<1%

Панама
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%
Испания 16.3%
Франция 12.4%
Англия 12.3%
Аргентина 9.4%
$453,653,410 Объем
$453,653,410 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
12%

Англия
12%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Португалия
7%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
3%

Норвегия
3%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Уругвай
1%

Швейцария
1%

Хорватия
1%

Мексика
1%

Эквадор
1%

Сенегал
1%

Швеция
1%

Канада
1%

Австрия
1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Иран
<1%

Панама
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner consensus at 16.3% implied probability, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, 18-month unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, and runner-up spot in the freshly updated FIFA rankings (just one point behind new No. 1 France at 1877.32). France (12.4%) and England (12.3%) trail closely after topping UEFA qualifying groups and strong recent form, including France's 3-1 friendly win over Colombia last week. Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) secured CONMEBOL spots amid grueling campaigns, but trader caution persists amid parity in the expanded 48-team field, aging stars like Messi (39), Ronaldo (41), and Haaland's Norway surge, with qualifiers' playoff shocks (Italy out to Bosnia on penalties) underscoring upset potential just weeks from kickoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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