Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their world No. 1 ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and 18-month unbeaten streak featuring young stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, who returned strong from injuries in March friendlies. France (13.7%) narrowed the gap with dominant recent international form, showcasing Mbappé-led depth amid the final qualification window's close on March 31. England (11.6%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) keep the race tight through squad talent, South American qualifier pedigree, and knockout unpredictability, with all 48 teams set post-playoffs and groups drawn—highlighting parity among Europe's golden generations and traditional powers ahead of the June kickoff across North America.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 16.0%
Франция 13.5%
Англия 11.6%
Аргентина 9.3%
$484,237,151 Объем
$484,237,151 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
14%

Англия
12%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Португалия
7%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
3%

Норвегия
3%

Бельгия
2%

Япония
2%

Колумбия
2%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Уругвай
1%

Мексика
1%

Хорватия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Эквадор
1%

Турция
1%

Сенегал
1%

Швеция
1%

Канада
1%

Австрия
1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Иран
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%
Испания 16.0%
Франция 13.5%
Англия 11.6%
Аргентина 9.3%
$484,237,151 Объем
$484,237,151 Объем

Испания
16%

Франция
14%

Англия
12%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Португалия
7%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
3%

Норвегия
3%

Бельгия
2%

Япония
2%

Колумбия
2%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Уругвай
1%

Мексика
1%

Хорватия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Эквадор
1%

Турция
1%

Сенегал
1%

Швеция
1%

Канада
1%

Австрия
1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Иран
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their world No. 1 ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and 18-month unbeaten streak featuring young stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, who returned strong from injuries in March friendlies. France (13.7%) narrowed the gap with dominant recent international form, showcasing Mbappé-led depth amid the final qualification window's close on March 31. England (11.6%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) keep the race tight through squad talent, South American qualifier pedigree, and knockout unpredictability, with all 48 teams set post-playoffs and groups drawn—highlighting parity among Europe's golden generations and traditional powers ahead of the June kickoff across North America.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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