Market icon

2024 August hottest on record?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$3,610,314 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$3,610,314
Дата окончания
Aug 31, 2024
Дата создания
Aug 1, 2024, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

2024 August hottest on record?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$3,610,314 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$3,610,314
Дата окончания
Aug 31, 2024
Дата создания
Aug 1, 2024, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.