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2023 Global Heat Increase

$1,536,163 Объем

Dec 30, 2023

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Объем
$1,536,163
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2023
Создано
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET

Результат предложен: Yes

Нет спора

Финальный результат: Yes

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.

Market icon

2023 Global Heat Increase

$1,536,163 Объем

Market icon

1.05+

$307,567 Объем

Yes

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1.08+

$307,850 Объем

Yes

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1.11+

$329,086 Объем

Yes

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1.13+

$353,862 Объем

Yes

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1.15+

$138,175 Объем

Yes

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1.18+

$99,624 Объем

No

О событии

Объем
$1,536,163
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2023
Создано
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.