2023 Global Heat Increase
$1,536,163 Объем
Dec 30, 2023
1.05+
$307,567 Объем
Yes
1.08+
$307,850 Объем
Yes
1.11+
$329,086 Объем
Yes
1.13+
$353,862 Объем
Yes
1.15+
$138,175 Объем
Yes
1.18+
$99,624 Объем
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Дата создания: Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET
Объем
$1,536,163Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2023Дата создания
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ETПредложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
2023 Global Heat Increase
$1,536,163 Объем
1.05+
$307,567 Объем
Yes
1.08+
$307,850 Объем
Yes
1.11+
$329,086 Объем
Yes
1.13+
$353,862 Объем
Yes
1.15+
$138,175 Объем
Yes
1.18+
$99,624 Объем
No
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.