David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCrowley <1% 100.0%
Hong 6%+ <1%
Hong 5–6% <1%
Hong 4–5% <1%
$110,072 Vol.
$110,072 Vol.
13 ago 2026
Hong 6%+
Não
Hong 5–6%
Não
Hong 4–5%
Não
Hong 3–4%
Não
Hong 2–3%
Não
Hong 1–2%
Não
Hong <1%
Não
Crowley <1%
Sim
Crowley 1–2%
Não
Crowley 2–3%
Não
Crowley 3–4%
Não
Crowley 4–5%
Não
Crowley 5–6%
Não
Crowley 6%+
Não
Crowley <1% 100.0%
Hong 6%+ <1%
Hong 5–6% <1%
Hong 4–5% <1%
$110,072 Vol.
$110,072 Vol.
13 ago 2026
Hong 6%+
$13,198 Vol.
Não
Hong 5–6%
$3,714 Vol.
Não
Hong 4–5%
$3,377 Vol.
Não
Hong 3–4%
$11,011 Vol.
Não
Hong 2–3%
$2,738 Vol.
Não
Hong 1–2%
$8,472 Vol.
Não
Hong <1%
$4,537 Vol.
Não
Crowley <1%
$19,064 Vol.
Sim
Crowley 1–2%
$14,039 Vol.
Não
Crowley 2–3%
$9,988 Vol.
Não
Crowley 3–4%
$10,234 Vol.
Não
Crowley 4–5%
$2,286 Vol.
Não
Crowley 5–6%
$3,312 Vol.
Não
Crowley 6%+
$4,102 Vol.
Não
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$110,072Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$110,072Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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